Wednesday, July 19, 2006

Ajonjolí de todos los moles

Javier Treviño Cantú
El Norte
19 de julio de 2006

La falta de enfoque lleva a los países a ensayar todo tipo de justificaciones. Hasta hace poco era común escuchar que México es "un país de pertenencias múltiples". Por razones históricas, culturales y geográficas, somos parte de América Latina. Por razones geográficas y, cada vez más, por cuestiones económicas, sociales y de seguridad también pertenecemos a América del Norte.

Por la herencia de España tenemos vínculos estrechos con Europa, los cuales se refrendaron con el Acuerdo de Asociación Económica, Concertación Política y Cooperación entre nuestro país y la Unión Europea. Incluso el hecho de contar con un extenso litoral en el Océano Pacífico nos ha permitido desarrollar lazos con Asia a través de nuestra membresía en APEC, el Mecanismo de Cooperación Asia-Pacífico, y del reciente Tratado de Libre Comercio con Japón.

Gracias a nuestra extensión territorial, ubicación geopolítica, tamaño poblacional, nivel de desarrollo económico y al "poder suave" de nuestra cultura, deberíamos ser reconocidos como parte de las llamadas "potencias regionales emergentes". Es una categoría donde entrarían países como Brasil, Rusia, India y China, los llamados "BRIC's".

Sin embargo, en los últimos tiempos, México parece haber perdido su sentido de ubicación en el mundo.

En América Latina hemos dilapidado gran parte de nuestro capital diplomático. Desde hace años hemos tenido fricciones con Brasil debido a una competencia soterrada por el liderazgo de la región. Los fallidos intentos por ingresar al Mercosur se han topado con una pared. A esto se han sumado los roces con otros países de toda la zona, desde Argentina, Chile, Bolivia y Venezuela en América del Sur, hasta Cuba y República Dominicana en el Caribe.

Con Europa hemos logrado mantener relaciones diplomáticas un poco menos conflictivas, pero sin duda igualmente improductivas. A pesar de contar con espacios de maniobra, no hemos logrado utilizarlos para promover nuestros intereses económicos y políticos. Uno de los grandes saldos del actual gobierno, lamentablemente, será la forma en que se desaprovechó un Acuerdo tan amplio como el que tenemos con la Unión Europea.

En Asia, aparte de la buena relación con Japón y de los esfuerzos de acercamiento con Corea del Sur, no hemos sabido aprovechar las oportunidades que ofrece el acelerado crecimiento de China y la India. Son países con los cuales resulta muy complejo negociar, pero hasta ahora la balanza se ha inclinado a su favor, tanto en términos comerciales como de proyección internacional.

Prácticamente en todo el mundo parece existir la percepción de que México en realidad pertenece más a América del Norte que a cualquier otra parte. En muchos sentidos es cierto. Desde que comenzó a operar el TLC con Estados Unidos y Canadá, nuestra economía se ha integrado cada vez más a la de nuestros vecinos. También lo han hecho nuestras sociedades, como lo demuestran las remesas que envían los trabajadores migrantes, e incluso nuestras culturas. Para preocupación de gente como el profesor Samuel Huntington, hoy en casi todo Estados Unidos "se habla español".

El problema es que nuestros socios comerciales no parecen estar convencidos de que en verdad seamos "norteamericanos". A pesar de que se han establecido nuevos mecanismos para impulsar la integración regional, como la Alianza para la Seguridad y la Prosperidad de América del Norte, la zona sigue claramente dividida en dos, con Estados Unidos y Canadá en un plano relativamente equitativo y México en otro.

La "desubicación global" de México acaba de manifestarse en San Petersburgo, durante la reunión anual del G-8, que incluye a Estados Unidos, Canadá, Gran Bretaña, Francia, Alemania, Italia, Japón y Rusia. En ocasiones se invita a otros participantes, y entre ellos esta vez convocaron a Brasil, China, India, Sudáfrica y, también, a México.

A pesar de que los temas centrales del encuentro eran de la mayor importancia para nuestro país -seguridad energética, control de enfermedades infecciosas y educación-, da la impresión de que México llegó sin agenda al evento. En cambio, el resto de los invitados sí parecen haber aprovechado el escenario.

La India logró que el comunicado de la reunión del lunes condenara los atentados terroristas en Bombay. Brasil hizo duros señalamientos sobre la falta de liderazgo para sacar adelante la Ronda de Doha de la OMC. Sudáfrica planteó impulsar la educación en el continente africano y China insistió en la importancia de que los miembros del G-8 trabajen junto con los países en desarrollo.

Por su parte, México parece haberse limitado a informar sobre los avances de nuestro inconcluso proceso electoral, y a confirmar que el Congreso estadounidense no aprobará una reforma migratoria este año.

Hoy, México ni es miembro pleno del "G-3 de América del Norte", ni está considerado por los integrantes del grupo compuesto por las grandes economías emergentes como parte del mismo, ni tiene esperanzas de llegar a ser incluido en el G-8.

México necesita definir con realismo el lugar que quiere ocupar en el mundo y enfocar todos sus recursos en lograrlo. Si no, únicamente seguiremos tratando de ser ajonjolí de todos los moles.

125 comments:

DebNoSUs said...

Buena reflexión, y como economista estoy de acuerdo con usted en que México debe tomar un rumbo fijo.

Visite el Ajonjolí de todos los moles [Así se llama el blog] con el famosisímo Debnosus.

Lo que son las coincidencias, ¿No?

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